Will the U.S. go into default for the first time in its history?  The whole advantage of being the world reserve currency is that we can print from debt  the money that we need to pay our bills.  Is the government so divided that they would actually allow a default? What if we don’t pay our bills? Janet Yellen says we could run out of all of the tools that she has to postpone hitting the debt ceiling on June 1st.

CHAPTERS:

0:00 Intro
1:09 How Worried Should We Be
4:23 Debt Limit
5:50 Deadlock
7:45 Bets are Rising
14:45  Who’s in Control?
16:55 Eye Popping Fluctuation

SLIDES FROM VIDEO:

SOURCES:

https://www.brookings.edu/2023/04/24/how-worried-should-we-be-if-the-debt-ceiling-isnt-lifted/

https://www.moodysanalytics.com/-/media/article/2023/debt-limit-brinkmanship.pdf

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/04/30/debt-ceiling-deadlock-continues-00094557

www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-28/bets-offering-2-400-payout-on-us-default-lure-growing-crowd

Policymakers and business need to adapt better to structural uncertainty | Financial Times (ft.com)

https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmubmusd01y?countrycode=bx

Gold Market Primer: Market size and structure | World Gold Council